China's New Export Controls on Critical Minerals: What Importers Need to Know

The US tariffs on Chinese goods have created distinct winner and loser categories. Products with low tariff exposure (under 10%) continue to flow normally. High-tariff categories have seen buyers shift to Vietnam, India, and Mexico for final assembly. However, China remains dominant for components and intermediate goods — many 'Made in Vietnam' products still rely on Chinese raw materials and parts.

RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership) reduces tariffs between 15 Asia-Pacific countries. For importers, this means: (1) lower costs for products using RCEP-originating materials, (2) simplified customs procedures, (3) cumulation of origin rules that make it easier to qualify for preferential rates. The impact is gradual — tariff reductions phase in over 20 years — but early adopters gain competitive advantage.

China's manufacturing wage growth has slowed significantly. Average manufacturing wages rose about 3% annually in 2024-2026 compared to 8-10% a decade ago. Combined with automation investments, China remains cost-competitive for most manufactured goods. The gap with Southeast Asia is narrowing for labor-intensive products but China maintains advantages in infrastructure, supply chain density, and skilled technical workers.