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What China's Population Decline Means for Manufacturing Labor Costs

China's manufacturing wage growth has slowed significantly. Average manufacturing wages rose about 3% annually in 2024-2026 compared to 8-10% a decade ago. Combined with automation investments, China remains cost-competitive for most manufactured goods. The gap with Southeast Asia is narrowing for labor-intensive products but China maintains advantages in infrastructure, supply chain density, and skilled technical workers.

The EU's Digital Product Passport requirement is coming into effect for several product categories starting 2026. It requires manufacturers to provide detailed product lifecycle data: raw material sources, manufacturing processes, repair instructions, and end-of-life disposal. Chinese factories exporting to Europe need to implement systems to capture and share this data. Early compliance is a competitive advantage.

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