What China's Population Decline Means for Manufacturing Labor Costs

African import demand is diversifying beyond traditional commodities. Fastest-growing import categories include machinery, electronics, construction materials, and processed foods. Chinese exporters are well-positioned in these categories, but face increasing competition from Indian, Turkish, and European suppliers. The winners will be those who invest in local market knowledge, warehousing, and after-sales service.

The US tariffs on Chinese goods have created distinct winner and loser categories. Products with low tariff exposure (under 10%) continue to flow normally. High-tariff categories have seen buyers shift to Vietnam, India, and Mexico for final assembly. However, China remains dominant for components and intermediate goods — many 'Made in Vietnam' products still rely on Chinese raw materials and parts.

The EU's Digital Product Passport requirement is coming into effect for several product categories starting 2026. It requires manufacturers to provide detailed product lifecycle data: raw material sources, manufacturing processes, repair instructions, and end-of-life disposal. Chinese factories exporting to Europe need to implement systems to capture and share this data. Early compliance is a competitive advantage.